St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The St. Louis Cardinals will square off against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will televise this interleague matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals at Detroit Tigers Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Detroit (+115) as the underdog to St. Louis (-125). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at -115 for over 8.5 runs and -105 for under 8.5. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +120 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -140 for the Tigers +1.5 runs.

The Tigers are 73-68 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 59-83 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors and 6.2 units (ATS). The Cardinals are 78-64 SU and have gone 75-66 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 4.0 units for moneyline bettors and 8.6 units ATS.

Tigers games have an over/under record of 60-74-7 in 2018. St. Louis has an over/under record of 65-70-6.

Right-hander John Gant will get the start for St. Louis. Gant is 6-5 with a 3.19 ERA and 80 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Tigers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Michael Fulmer (3-10, 4.57 ERA), who has 105 strikeouts and 43 walks to his name, as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Fulmer did not record a start against the Cardinals in 2017.

St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.36 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.06 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.28, along with a K-per-9 of 8.11.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .250/.324/.414 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

St. Louis’ hitters have been paced by first baseman Jose Martinez and outfielder Marcell Ozuna, who collectively have blasted 37 home runs. Martinez is slashing .303/.362/.457 with 16 home runs, 78 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Ozuna is hitting .278 with 21 homers, 75 RBIs and 58 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.48, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.49 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Detroit offense has produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .266/.345/.451 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers’ batters have been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is hitting .293/.350/.484 with 20 home runs, 78 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while the line for Iglesias stands at .269/.310/.389 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The Cardinals have lost 2.0 units and are 53-48 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 11.8 units and are 51-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 58 which went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals at Detroit Tigers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of St. Louis’ last seven games.
  • St. Louis fielders have committed six errors over their last five games, compared to two errors for Detroit over its last five.
  • The Cardinals have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.