St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cincinnati Reds are playing host to their division rival St. Louis Cardinals at Great American Ball Park. The matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Midwest.

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Odds

St. Louis (-125) is the favorite over Cincinnati (+115) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds standing at Cardinals -1.5 runs (+120) and Reds +1.5 runs (-140).

The Reds are 22-42 SU and 32-31 ATS. The teams lost 14.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.8 units against the spread (ATS). Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in all seven of them. The Cardinals are 34-27 SU and have gone 29-31 ATS. In total, the teams lost 2.5 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Cincinnati games have a 30-31-2 over/under record so far in 2018. St. Louis has been a decent under bet with a total record of 23-33-4.

Michael Wacha will get the nod for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Wacha is 7-1 with a 2.41 ERA and 61 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with eight strikeouts and a 3.09 ERA against Cincinnati this year (two starts).

The Reds are sending righty Luis Castillo (4-6, 5.64 ERA) to the mound. Castillo has 64 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Castillo is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.79, a WHIP of 1.54 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 26 games against divisional foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 6.07 and the bullpens ERA is 4.33.

The Cincinnati hitters have produced 4.2 runs per contest, including 3.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .318/.389/.434 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Reds offense has been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto. Gennett is slashing .345/.382/.569 with 12 home runs, 45 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Votto is batting .307 with six homers, 27 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

In the other dugout, St. Louis pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.97 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 7.97 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.54, along with a WHIP of 1.17.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .242/.318/.392 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

St. Louis hitters have been led by first baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna. Martinez is slashing .315/.381/.500 with eight home runs, 39 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Ozuna (.275/.325/.378) is up to five homers, 30 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 3.0 units and are 21-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 12.8 units and are 22-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 24 that’ve gone under.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Cardinals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 10 over their last 10.
  • St. Louis has posted 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.