St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The St. Louis Cardinals will face their division rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be airing the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:40 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Both teams have equal -105 moneyline odds and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the odds coming in at Cardinals -1.5 runs (+140) and Brewers +1.5 runs (-160).

The Brewers are 35-20 SU and 32-22 ATS. The team has gained 16.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.3 units against the spread (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Cardinals are 28-23 SU and have gone 24-26 ATS. In total, the teams lost 0.4 units for moneyline bettors and 3.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 21-31-2 so far in 2018. St. Louis has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 19-27-4.

Michael Wacha is getting the nod for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Wacha is 5-1 with a 2.88 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He has yet to face Milwaukee this year, but he did make three starts against the Brewers in 2017, posting a 0-0 record against them with a 5.79 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

The Brewers are turning to righty Zach Davies (2-4, 4.74 ERA), who’s got 27 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Davies is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 9.53 ERA over one starts against St. Louis this year.

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.21, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.45, a WHIP of 1.11 and a K/9 of 10.3. In 24 games against divisional foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.12 and the bullpens ERA is 3.28.

Milwaukee’s offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .303/.380/.483 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers hitters this year. Cain is hitting .289/.396/.444 with six home runs, 16 RBIs, 35 runs and 11 stolen bases, and Yelich’s line is .310/.374/.485 with six homers, 24 RBIs, 33 runs and six stolen bases.

In the other dugout, St. Louis pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.10 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.35, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K-per-9 of 8.23.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .239/.318/.389 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

St. Louis offense has been powered by first baseman Jose Martinez and outfielder Marcell Ozuna. Martinez is slashing .306/.374/.457 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Ozuna (.264/.306/.342) is up to three homers, 23 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .309/.379/.518, Martinez seemed to have some trouble hitting righty pitching on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .257/.333/.371 across 117 such plate appearances.

The Cardinals have lost 3.8 units and are 16-22 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 15.4 units and are 26-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 24 that went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Brewers have won seven of their last eight games SU.
  • The St. Louis defense has allowed four errors over its last five games, compared to zero errors for Milwaukee over its last five.
  • The Cardinals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.