St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cincinnati Reds are squaring off against the St. Louis Cardinals at Great American Ball Park. The action will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will be showing the game.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Cincinnati (+125) is coming into this one as the underdog against St. Louis (-135) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Runline odds sit at +110 for betting the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -130 for the Reds +1.5.

The Reds are 22-43 SU and 33-31 ATS. The team has lost 15.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.8 units against the spread (ATS). Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in all seven of them. The Cardinals are 35-27 SU and have gone 29-32 ATS. In total, the teams lost 1.6 units for moneyline bettors and 3.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Reds games have an over/under record of 31-31-2 thus far in 2018. St. Louis has been a decent under bet with a total record of 24-33-4.

The right-handed Carlos Martinez is projected to start for the visiting Cards. Martinez is 3-2 with a 1.83 ERA and 52 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year (three starts).

The Reds will send righty Anthony DeSclafani (0-1, 7.20 ERA) to the mound. DeSclafani has five punchouts and one walks to his credit, as well as a 1.40 WHIP. DeSclafani has yet to face the Cardinals this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff has yielded 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.82, a WHIP of 1.53 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.06 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 27 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 6.13 and the bullpens ERA is 4.29.

Cincinnati’s offense has put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 3.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The teams hit .308/.386/.434 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Reds hitters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto. Gennett is slashing .342/.378/.561 with 12 home runs, 45 RBIs and 33 runs scored, and Votto is batting .310 with six homers, 27 RBIs and 32 runs.

For the visitors, St. Louis pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 2.97 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 7.99 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.55, along with a K/9 of 8.55.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .241/.317/.394 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

First baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna continue to lead St. Louis hitters. Martinez is slashing .317/.387/.514 with nine home runs, 40 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Ozuna (.274/.324/.389) is up to six homers, 31 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 1.9 units and are 21-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 13.8 units and are 23-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 24 that went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Cardinals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
  • The St. Louis defense has allowed 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to six errors for Cincinnati over its last 10.
  • The Reds have lost six of their last seven games SU.