St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins Free Pick

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Paul Goldschmidt and the St. Louis Cardinals will square off against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park in a Wednesday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will showcase this NL matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins Odds

Las Vegas has Miami (+140) as the underdog to St. Louis (-150). The total currently stands at 8 runs and gamblers can play the over for -115 or the under for -105. This game currently has a runline of Cardinals -1.5 (-105) and Marlins +1.5 (-115).

The Cardinals are 33-32 SU and have gone 33-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.5 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 1.4 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 23-42 SU and 30-34 ATS. The team has lost 4.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Miami games have an over/under record of 29-33-2 so far in 2019. Cardinals games have gone under 32 times, gone over 28 times and pushed on four occasions.

Miles Mikolas will get the nod for St. Louis. The right-handed Mikolas is 4-6 with a 4.54 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He has yet to face Miami this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 2-0 record with a 1.29 ERA and six strikeouts.

The Marlins are letting Jordan Yamamoto show that he belongs in the majors. This game represents the first MLB start of the year for the righty Yamamoto.

St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.29 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.09, along with a K-per-9 of 10.36.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .247/.328/.407 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder Marcell Ozuna have led St. Louis’ offense. Goldschmidt is hitting .271/.359/.441 with 12 home runs, 27 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Ozuna (.267/.337/.546) is up to 18 homers, 55 RBIs, 48 runs and six stolen bases.

For the home team, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 3.89, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 5.14 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

The Miami hitters have produced 3.4 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .203/.259/.267 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ batters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .242/.325/.377 with seven home runs, 27 RBIs and 21 runs scored, and Castro’s line is .226/.258/.304 with four homers, 27 RBIs and 19 runs.

The Cardinals have lost 2.1 units and are 28-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 5.8 units and are 19-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under.

Cardinals at Marlins Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • St. Louis has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has nine XBH over its last five.
  • St. Louis has recorded 17.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.4 over its last five.
  • The Cardinals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit eight over their last 10.
  • The Cardinals have a team OPS of .735 this season and an OPS of .743 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .641 overall and .640 against righties.