St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Los Angeles Dodgers will head east to Busch Stadium to square off against the St. Louis Cardinals. Fox Sports Midwest will be showing this NL matchup and the action gets going at 7:15 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Los Angeles (-165) is favored over St. Louis (+155) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Dodgers -1.5 runs (-115) and Cardinals +1.5 runs (-105).

The Dodgers have gone 79-67 SU this year and are 62-83 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 28.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 21.6 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 81-65 SU and 77-68 ATS. They’ve gained 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 9.1 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Cardinals games have an over/under record of 67-72-6 in 2018. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 68-72-5.

Clayton Kershaw is getting the start for the visiting Dodgers. The southpaw Kershaw is 7-5 with a 2.42 ERA and 134 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts across nine innings).

The Cardinals will put the ball in the hands of Austin Gomber (5-0, 2.93 ERA, 1.34 WHIP), who has 51 punchouts and 27 walks. Gomber is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.

St. Louis’ pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.36, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

St. Louis’ offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .236/.301/.354 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Cardinals’ offense has been led by outfielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez. Ozuna is slashing .279/.321/.433 with 21 home runs, 80 RBIs and 61 runs scored, and Martinez’s line sits at .304/.363/.454 with 16 homers, 80 RBIs and 56 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.26 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.49 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.79, along with a K/9 of 9.57.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .244/.330/.432 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Los Angeles’ hitters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and right fielder Chris Taylor, who’ve collectively blasted 38 home runs. Bellinger is slashing .257/.340/.468 with 22 home runs, 65 RBIs and 77 runs scored, while Taylor is hitting .248/.324/.442 with 16 homers, 59 RBIs and 74 runs scored.

The Cardinals have gained 4.3 units and are 22-19 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 23 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve gone under against lefty starters.

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Los Angeles has logged 22 extra-base hits over its last five contests. St. Louis has 10 XBH over its last five.
  • St. Louis has recorded 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.
  • The Dodgers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 15 over their last 10.