St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Matchup

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The St. Louis Cardinals will be facing off against their division rival Cincinnati Reds in a Sunday showdown. The matchup will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio to catch the game.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

St. Louis (receiving +100) is coming into this one as the underdog against Cincinnati (-110) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 10.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total now sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Cardinals +1.5 runs (-210) and Reds -1.5 runs (+175).

The Reds are 54-41 against the spread (ATS), but only 44-52 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 6.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.7 units ATS. The Cardinals are 50-47 SU and have gone 47-49 ATS. In total, the club has lost 7.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.6 units ATS.

Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 34-57-4 thus far in 2019. Cardinals games have gone under 48 times, gone over 41 times and pushed on seven occasions.

The right-handed Jack Flaherty is projected to start for the visiting Cardinals. Flaherty is 4-6 with a 4.41 ERA and 115 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds are putting the ball in the hands of righty Anthony DeSclafani (5-4, 4.29 ERA), who’s got 94 punchouts and 27 walks, along with a 1.32 WHIP. DeSclafani is 1-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA across three starts against St. Louis this year.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has yielded 4.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.75, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.17 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 45 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 3.78 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.89.

The Cincinnati hitters have produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .289/.369/.445 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Right fielder Yasiel Puig and third baseman Eugenio Suarez have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Puig is slashing .263/.307/.500 with 22 home runs, 59 RBIs, 46 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Suarez’s line is .250/.330/.506 with 24 homers, 60 RBIs and 50 runs.

For the visiting squad, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.25 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.91, along with a K-per-9 of 10.21.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .244/.320/.402 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

St. Louis’ hitters have been paced by shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. DeJong is slashing .252/.332/.440 with 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 62 runs scored, while Goldschmidt is hitting .248/.335/.424 with 18 homers, 44 RBIs and 56 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 3.0 units and are 39-37 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 7.2 units and are 39-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 43 which went under the total.

Cardinals at Reds MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in four of St. Louis’ last seven games.
  • The Cardinals have a team OPS of .722 this season and an OPS of .724 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .732 overall and .711 against righties.
  • Cincinnati has recorded 26.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
  • The Cardinals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.