St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The St. Louis Cardinals will be facing off against their NL Central foe Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Midwest will televise the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 12:35 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Cincinnati (+115) as the underdog to St. Louis (-125). The total is sitting at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds sitting at +120 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -140 for the Reds +1.5.

The Cardinals are 51-50 SU and have gone 49-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 6.7 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 44-57 SU and 58-42 ATS. The team has lost 3.4 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Reds games have had an over/under record of 53-43-4 in 2018. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 47-49-4.

The right-handed Jack Flaherty is getting the start for the visiting Cardinals. Flaherty is 4-4 with a 3.15 ERA and 96 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds are going with righty Sal Romano (5-8, 5.19 ERA), who’s got 74 strikeouts and 41 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.43. Romano is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.

St. Louis pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.44 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.98 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.66, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .246/.320/.404 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

St. Louis offensive production has been sparked by left fielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez, who collectively have launched 23 home runs. Ozuna is hitting .262/.307/.373 with 10 home runs, 51 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Martinez is hitting .296 with 13 homers, 57 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.24, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 50 games against NL Central foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.49 and the bullpens ERA is 3.95.

Cincinnati’s offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .185/.247/.274 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Reds offense has been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is hitting .313/.363/.501 with 16 home runs, 63 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Peraza’s line sits at .291/.337/.389 with five homers, 35 RBIs, 53 runs and 17 stolen bases.

The Cardinals have lost 6.8 units and are 36-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, as opposed to 38 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 7.6 units and are 42-33 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 35 that went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in just two of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • Cincinnati has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.2 over its last five.
  • The Cardinals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit seven over their last 10.