Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Auburn Tigers – Betting Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, College Football, Football

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (+28) will meet the No. 10 Auburn Tigers at Jordan-Hare Stadium. This critical afternoon game will start at 4:00 p.m. ET and SEC Network will televise the action.

Betting Preview: Auburn Tigers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Auburn is heavily favored in this one and is currently giving up 28 points to Southern Miss. Oddsmakers haven’t determined what the game’s over/under (O/U) will be yet. There should be some solid in-game betting scenarios in this matchup.

The opening line was originally set at -30, but has recently shifted.

The Golden Eagles are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.4 units so far. The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 1-1.

The Tigers have lost 3.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-3.

The Golden Eagles are 2-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Tigers are 3-1 SU.

The Golden Eagles are coming off a resounding 40-22 victory over Rice last week. The Golden Eagles defense allowed the Owls to rush for 137 yards on 29 attempts, along with one rushing TD. On the offense, Jack Abraham completed 25 passes on 34 attempts for 428 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Trivenskey Mosley (42 rushing yards on nine attempts) and Steven Anderson (52 yards on eight carries, one TD) led the running attack while Quez Watkins (five receptions, 85 yards, one TD) and De’Michael Harris (four catches, 99 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Auburn just earned a 34-3 win over Arkansas. Jarrett Stidham completed 15-of-22 passes for 134 yards. JaTarvious Whitlow (49 rushing yards on 13 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Stidham (-5 yards on 10 carries, one TD) mounted the running attack as Ryan Davis (six receptions, 40 yards) and Anthony Schwartz (three catches, 59 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Southern Miss has run the ball on 49.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Auburn has an overall rush percentage of 64.0 percent. The Golden Eagles have produced 132.7 rush yards per game and have two scores on the ground this year. The Tigers are totaling 199.3 rushing yards per game and have 12 total rush TDs.

If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Tigers could hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has produced 4.5 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 2.8 YPC to opponents. The Golden Eagles have tallied 3.6 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.9 to opponents.

The Golden Eagles offense has averaged a ridiculous 353.7 yards through the air overall and has 10 passing scores so far. The Tigers have produced 185.8 pass yards per contest and have three total pass TDs.

Southern Miss appears to have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents run for an average of 132.3 yards and throw for 139.3 yards per game. The Auburn defense has given up 211.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Golden Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.11 to opposing QBs, while the Tigers have given up a 4.20 ANY/A.

Offensively, Abraham is up to 670 passing yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 75 percent of his 61 attempts with eight scores through the air and only one interception. He’s got a sparkling 11.95 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 8.65 over the last two outings.

Jaylond Adams, Quez Watkins and Tez Parks have combined to account for 521 total yards and five touchdowns over the last two outings.

Jarrett Stidham has completed 47-of-69 passes for 520 yards, two TDs and zero INTs for Auburn. His ANY/A sits at 6.96 for the year and 4.24 across his last two games.

JaTarvious Whitlow (199 rushing yards, three rush TDs on the year), Anthony Schwartz (126 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Ryan Davis (126 receiving yards) have combined for 315 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns over the last two games.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Auburn Tigers NCAA Tip

SU Winner: Auburn, ATS Winner: Southern Miss

Team Betting Trends

  • Southern Miss, as a team, has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last two contests.
  • Auburn has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last two.
  • Auburn has lost four fumbles this season while Southern Miss has let three get away.
  • The Golden Eagles offense has created four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Tigers have put up two such plays.
  • The Southern Miss defense has allowed one pass play of 40 yards or more, while Auburn has given up three such plays.
  • The Southern Miss offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Auburn has created three such runs.
  • The Golden Eagles defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Tigers have given up four such runs.
  • The Auburn defensive unit has registered 13 sacks on the year while Southern Miss has just two.