Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners are paying a visit to Arlington’s Globe Life Park to do battle against their division rival Texas Rangers. The matchup gets underway at 8:05 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on RTNW and FSSW.

Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Seattle (+100) as the underdog to Texas (-110). The total stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for +100. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -210 for the Mariners +1.5 runs and +175 for the Rangers -1.5.

The Rangers are just 7-13 SU and 8-12 ATS. They’ve lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors and 7.4 units against the spread (ATS). Texas has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mariners have gone 9-8 SU this year and are 11-5 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 3.3 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 5.7 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Rangers games have had an over/under record of 9-10-1 so far in 2018. Seattle has an over/under record of 10-6.

Felix Hernandez is getting the nod for the visiting Mariners. The right-handed Hernandez is 2-2 with a 5.48 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face Texas this year, but he did make four starts against the Rangers in 2017, posting a 1-1 record against them with a 5.03 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

The Rangers will turn to lefty Mike Minor (1-1, 4.60 ERA), who has 14 strikeouts and five walks as well as a 0.96 WHIP. Minor did not record a start against the Mariners in 2017.

Texas’ pitchers have given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.33, a WHIP of 1.52 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 3.28 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 14 games against AL West opponents, Rangers starters have an ERA of 4.94 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.00.

The Texas hitters have put up 3.4 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .236/.288/.427 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Shortstop Elvis Andrus and third baseman Adrian Beltre have led the way for the Rangers’ batters so far. Andrus is hitting .327/.426/.500 with 17 hits, five RBIs and seven runs scored, and Beltre’s line is .300/.363/.414 with 21 hits, five RBIs and seven runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .312/.383/.532, Beltre enjoyed hitting at home in 2017, hitting .362/.440/.586 across 182 plate appearances.

For the visiting squad, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.87 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.32 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.55, along with a WHIP of 1.39.

The Mariners offense has slashed .241/.307/.390 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Seattle’s offensive production been powered by second baseman Robinson Cano and right fielder Mitch Haniger. Cano is slashing .339/.471/.464 with 19 hits, six RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Haniger (.259/.353/.483) has produced 15 hits, four homers, 15 RBIs and seven runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .280/.338/.453, Cano did not perform especially well against left-handed pitchers on the road in 2017, putting up a slash line of .220/.278/.305 across 90 such plate appearances.

The Mariners have gained 3.1 units and are 5-0 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rangers have netted 1.0 units and are 7-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under.

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rangers, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The Mariners have lost four of their last five games SU.
  • Texas has recorded 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.2 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rangers have hit 14 over their last 10.