Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins Free Pick

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The Seattle Mariners will take on the Minnesota Twins in a Wednesday night game. This AL matchup will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports North to catch the game.

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins Odds

Seattle (+200) is entering this one as the underdog to Minnesota (-220) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total now stand at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Mariners +1.5 runs (-110) and Twins -1.5 runs (-110).

The Twins are 44-21 straight up (SU) and 39-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 21.0 units for moneyline bettors and 11.3 units ATS. The Mariners have gone 28-42 SU this year and are 34-35 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 10.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.1 units ATS.

Minnesota games have an over/under record of 33-27-4 so far in 2019. Seattle has also been a great over bet with a total record of 45-20-4.

Southpaw Tommy Milone will get the start for the visiting Mariners. Milone is 1-1 with a 3.10 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Twins are preparing to start righty Jose Berrios (8-2, 3.14 ERA), who has 78 strikeouts and 15 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.08. Berrios is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 7.71 ERA in one start against Seattle this year.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.64, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.63 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The Minnesota hitters are putting up 6.0 runs per contest, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .291/.352/.582 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have paced the Twins’ batters this year. Polanco is hitting .341/.401/.582 with 10 home runs, 35 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .272/.306/.544 with 19 homers, 52 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

For the visitors, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.41 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 6.79 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.21, along with a WHIP of 1.40 and a K-per-9 of 9.08.

Mariners hitters have slashed .242/.323/.453 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Domingo Santana and Edwin Encarnacion have paced Seattle’s hitters. Santana is slashing .279/.345/.487 with 13 home runs, 48 RBIs and 36 runs scored. Encarnacion (.246/.360/.542) is up to 21 homers, 49 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

The Mariners have lost 5.7 units and are 25-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 1.1 units and are 9-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to four that went under the total.

Mariners vs. Twins Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in just two of Seattle’s last seven games.
  • The Mariners have an OPS of .777 this season and an OPS of .773 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS sits at .859 overall and .851 versus righties.
  • The Twins have won four of their last five games SU.
  • Minnesota has recorded 26.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.6 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 24 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.