Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners will head east to Target Field to face off against the Minnesota Twins. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North is in line to showcase this AL matchup.

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins Odds

Minnesota (-115) is favored against Seattle (+105) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The games runline odds sit at -200 for taking the Mariners +1.5 runs and +170 for the Twins -1.5 runs.

The Twins are 17-19 SU and 21-14 ATS. They’ve lost 0.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.0 units against the spread (ATS). Minnesota has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, have gone 22-17 SU this year and are 23-15 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 7.1 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the season and 7.7 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Twins games have a 19-15-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Mariners games have gone over 23 times, gone under 15 times and pushed on zero instances.

Wade LeBlanc will get the nod for the visiting Mariners. The left-handed LeBlanc is 0-0 with a 3.18 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Twins will send righty Jake Odorizzi (3-2, 3.83 ERA) to the mound. Odorizzi has 38 strikeouts and 20 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.32. Odorizzi made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 0-2 record in 2017, posting a 0-2 record with a 15.00 ERA.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.99 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.70 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.19, along with a WHIP of 1.38.

The Mariners offense has slashed .261/.331/.433 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Seattle’s hitters have been powered by right fielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano. Haniger is slashing .293/.382/.579 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Cano has a .287 average with four homers, 23 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

Cano performed well against right-handed pitching in 2017, putting up a slash line of .312/.371/.519 across 455 plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .280/.338/.453).

In the home-team dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have an ERA of 4.38, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.87 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Minnesota hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .253/.323/.402 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Twins batters have been led by shortstop Eduardo Escobar and left fielder Eddie Rosario. Escobar is hitting .282/.338/.565 with seven home runs, 20 RBIs and 23 runs scored, and Rosario’s line sits at .287/.311/.559 with nine homers, 27 RBIs and 26 runs.

Rosario appeared to have a little trouble facing lefty pitching at home last year, slashing .291/.300/.407 across 90 such plate appearances (his total season line was .290/.328/.507).

The Mariners have gained 4.7 units and are 14-11 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 2.0 units and are 5-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to three that’ve gone under.

Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Seattle has recorded 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.0 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.