Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

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Domingo Santana and the surging Seattle Mariners will head east to Miller Park to face the Milwaukee Brewers. The game gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET and this interleague matchup will be televised on RTNW and FSWI.

Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Bookmakers have Milwaukee (-170) as the favorite over Seattle (+160). You can play matchup’s total with current odds sitting at -125 for over 9.5 runs and +105 for under 9.5. This game currently has a runline of Mariners +1.5 (-135) and Brewers -1.5 (+115).

The Brewers are 42-36 straight up (SU) and 37-41 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 0.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 7.8 units ATS. The Mariners are 35-47 SU and have gone 41-41 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.3 units ATS.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 35-40-3 thus far in 2019. Mariners games have gone over 55 times, gone under 22 times and pushed on five occasions.

Southpaw Marco Gonzales is projected to start for Seattle. Gonzales is 8-6 with a 4.38 ERA and 67 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Zach Davies (7-1, 3.06 ERA), who’s got 53 punchouts and 25 walks this season as well as a 1.36 WHIP. Davies did not re a start against the Mariners in 2018.

Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.45 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 6.79 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.24, along with a K/9 of 9.08.

Mariners hitters have slashed .246/.328/.454 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Outfielder Domingo Santana and catcher Omar Narvaez have paced Seattle’s offense. Santana is slashing .282/.347/.503 with 17 home runs, 59 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Narvaez (.295/.372/.479) has produced 11 homers, 28 RBIs and 38 runs scored.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.02, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .242/.356/.473 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas have led the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich is hitting .342/.435/.744 with 29 home runs, 63 RBIs, 63 runs and 17 steals, and Moustakas has produced a line of .280/.359/.583 with 22 homers, 48 RBIs and 49 runs scored.

The Mariners have lost 2.6 units and are 31-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 3.9 units and are 11-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in seven of those games, as opposed to 15 which went under the total.

Mariners vs. Brewers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in only one of Seattle’s last seven games.
  • The Mariners have won four of their last five games SU.
  • Seattle has posted 24.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.8 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
  • The Mariners have a team OPS of .782 this season and an OPS of .775 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .785 overall and .785 versus righties.