Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners will be taking on their divisional rival Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. The game gets going at 4:07 p.m. ET and the action will be televised on both RTNW and FSW.

Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds

Seattle (+105) is the underdog to Los Angeles (-115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). The game’s runline odds stand at -200 for picking the Mariners +1.5 runs and +170 for the Angels -1.5.

The Angels are 73-76 straight up (SU) and 68-80 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 8.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 21.6 units (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mariners are 82-66 SU and have gone 71-76 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 10.0 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 12.7 units ATS. Seattle is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Los Angeles games have had an over/under record of 64-75-9 in 2018. Seattle has an over/under record of 71-74-2.

The left-handed Marco Gonzales is the probable starter for the visiting Mariners. Gonzales (12-9, 4.24 ERA) has recorded 130 strikeouts in 150.2 innings so far. He’s 3-0 with 32 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Los Angeles this year (five starts).

The Angels will put the ball in the right hand of Jaime Barria (10-9, 3.53 ERA), who’s got 88 strikeouts and 37 walks this season as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Barria is 1-3 with 10 strikeouts and a 3.80 ERA across four starts against Seattle this year.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.22, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 63 games against AL West foes, Angels starters have an ERA of 3.95 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.95.

The Los Angeles hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .209/.269/.443 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Angels’ offense has been led by shortstop Andrelton Simmons and right fielder Mike Trout. Simmons is slashing .295/.341/.421 with 11 home runs, 71 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Trout’s line sits at .318/.466/.625 with 34 homers, 70 RBIs, 94 runs and 23 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.28 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.84, along with a K-per-9 of 9.07.

Mariners hitters have slashed .254/.315/.407 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Mitch Haniger continue to lead Seattle’s offense. The speedy Segura is slashing .308/.341/.421 with nine home runs, 60 RBIs, 84 runs and 20 stolen bases. Haniger is slashing .280/.362/.491 with 25 homers, 88 RBIs and 80 runs scored.

The Mariners have gained 13.6 units and are 48-52 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 52 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Angels have lost 13.2 units and are 19-28 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in five of Seattle’s last seven games.
  • Los Angeles has recorded 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.4 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.