Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Matchup

Jonathan GarosBaseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners will make a road trip to Minute Maid Park to face their divisional rival Houston Astros. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will televise the matchup.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Odds

Seattle (+195) is hosting this game as the underdog against Houston (-215) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -110 for picking the Mariners +1.5 runs and -110 for the Astros -1.5 runs.

The Astros are 72-42 straight up (SU) and 60-55 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 3.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units (ATS). The Mariners, on the other hand, are 65-48 SU and have gone 55-60 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 7.5 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 9.2 units ATS.

Houston games have had an over/under record of 50-59-6 in 2018. Mariners games have gone under 57 times, gone over 56 times and pushed on two instances.

The right-handed Mike Leake will get the start for the visiting Mariners. Leake is 8-7 with a 4.16 ERA and 86 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 11 strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Houston this year (two starts).

The Astros will send righty Lance McCullers Jr. (10-6, 3.93 ERA) to the mound. McCullers Jr. has 138 strikeouts and 50 walks to his name, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. McCullers Jr. is 1-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA over two starts against Seattle this year.

Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.13 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.83 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.94, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 9.53.

Mariners hitters have slashed .255/.317/.408 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Seattle’s offense has been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is hitting .305/.334/.429 with eight home runs, 51 RBIs, 73 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Gordon is hitting .283 with one homers, 22 RBIs, 49 runs and 26 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, Houston’s pitching staff has yielded 3.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.00, a WHIP of 1.08 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.5. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.05, a WHIP of 1.04 and a K/9 of 10.9. In 50 games against AL West foes, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.08 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.99.

Houston’s offense is putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .243/.333/.491 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Astros’ offense has been led by second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman. Altuve is slashing .329/.392/.464 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Bregman’s line sits at .278/.383/.522 with 22 homers, 71 RBIs and 75 runs.

The Mariners have gained 14.3 units and are 38-40 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 42 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 5.6 units and are 40-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 32 of those games, compared to 35 which went under the total.

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends,

  • The under has cashed in five of Houston’s last seven games.
  • The Astros have won five of their last six games SU.
  • Seattle has posted 21.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.4 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.