Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners will take on the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. This AL matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will be televising the game.

Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians Odds

Seattle (+205) is coming into this one as the underdog against Cleveland (-225) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the games total stand at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds sitting at -105 for the Mariners +1.5 runs and -115 for the Indians -1.5.

The Mariners have gone 14-11 SU this year and are 14-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 4.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 3.6 units ATS. Seattle is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 14-10 SU and 9-14 ATS. They’ve lost 1.2 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Indians games have an over/under record of 8-15 so far in 2018. Seattle has been a decent over bet with a total record of 15-9.

Mike Leake will get the start for Seattle. The right-handed Leake is 2-2 with a 6.59 ERA and 16 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Cleveland this year.

The Indians are turning to righty Carlos Carrasco (4-0, 2.31 ERA), who’s got 28 punchouts and six walks to his credit as well as a 0.86 WHIP. Carrasco is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 7.94 ERA over one starts against Seattle this year.

As a unit, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 3.2 runs per game overall this season. The clubs starters have a 2.92 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.23 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

Cleveland’s offense has put up 3.6 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The teams hit .242/.311/.497 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Third baseman Jose Ramirez and left fielder Michael Brantley have led the Indians batters so far. Ramirez is slashing .239/.340/.489 with seven home runs, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Brantley’s line is .344/.359/.541 with 21 hits, 10 RBIs and four runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .299/.358/.444, Brantley enjoyed hitting against righties at home in 2017, hitting .323/.400/.511 across 150 plate appearances.

For the visiting squad, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.72 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.65 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.90, along with a K/9 of 10.00.

Mariners hitters have slashed .249/.313/.415 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano have led Seattle’s hitters. Haniger is slashing .307/.382/.682 with nine home runs, 26 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Cano is slashing .307/.425/.432 with two homers, 10 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .280/.338/.453, Cano seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching last season, maintaining a slash line of .312/.371/.519 across 455 plate appearances.

The Mariners have gained 1.6 units and are 8-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 3.6 units and are 7-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in six of those games, as opposed to 10 which went under the total.

Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Cleveland has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.4 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 20 over their last 10.