Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners will be taking on the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The game gets underway 5:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will broadcast this AL matchup.

Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox Odds

Seattle (-140) is favored over Chicago (+130) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +105 for the Mariners -1.5 runs and -125 for the White Sox +1.5.

The Mariners have gone 11-10 SU this year and are 13-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 5.7 units ATS. Seattle is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 5-14 SU and 6-12 ATS. They’ve lost 10.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.0 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 10-7-1 so far in 2018. Seattle has been a decent over bet with a total record of 13-7.

Marco Gonzales is getting the start for the visiting Mariners. The left-handed Gonzales is 1-2 with a 5.94 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face the White Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The White Sox are sending righty Chris Volstad (0-0, 4.70 ERA) to the mound. Volstad has seven strikeouts and three walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.57. Volstad did not record a start against the Mariners in 2017.

Chicago’s pitchers have given up 6.5 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 6.30, a WHIP of 1.64 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 5.6. The bullpen has a 5.80 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.

The Chicago hitters have put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .265/.329/.413 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Jose Abreu and second baseman Yoan Moncada have led the White Sox offense this year. Abreu is slashing .308/.372/.577 with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 12 runs scored, and Moncada’s line sits at .240/.345/.493 with four homers, 10 RBIs and 13 runs.

Abreu enjoyed hitting against lefties in 2017, slashing .356/.402/.631 over 164 plate appearances (his total season line was .304/.354/.552).

In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.77 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.27, along with a K-per-9 of 9.46.

The Mariners offense has slashed .257/.319/.428 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Outfielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano have led Seattle’s offense. Haniger is hitting .324/.395/.716 with eight home runs, 23 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Cano is slashing .324/.438/.459 with two homers, nine RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .280/.338/.453, Cano appeared to enjoy hitting righty pitching last year, maintaining a slash line of .312/.371/.519 across 455 plate appearances.

The Mariners have gained 3.0 units and are 6-1 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 2.9 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to one that went under.

Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Seattle fielders have three errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Chicago over its last 10.
  • The Mariners have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit nine over their last 10.