Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners are traveling east to face the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. This AL showdown starts at 7:07 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on RTNW and RSN.

Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Seattle (-120) is favored over Toronto (+110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). You can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds standing at +125 for the Mariners -1.5 runs and -145 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs.

The Blue Jays are 19-16 SU and 19-16 ATS. The team has gained 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 2.9 units against the spread (ATS). Toronto has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in three of those seven. The Mariners are 19-14 SU and have gone 20-13 ATS. In total, the teams accumulated 6.1 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 7.0 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Toronto games have a 16-14-5 over/under record so far in 2018. The Mariners have been a decent over bet with a total record of 21-12.

The southpaw James Paxton will get the nod for the visiting Mariners. Paxton is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA and 60 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and three strikeouts across four innings).

The Blue Jays are putting the ball in the right hand of Marcus Stroman (0-4, 7.52 ERA, 1.64 WHIP), who has 30 strikeouts and 16 walks. Stroman made two starts against the Mariners in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 2.08 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

As a unit, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have an ERA of 5.40, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.06, a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 9.1.

The Toronto hitters are putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .238/.296/.459 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Blue Jays hitters have been led by right fielder Kevin Pillar and third baseman Yangervis Solarte. Pillar is slashing .316/.363/.549 with four home runs, 16 RBIs, 23 runs and six steals, while Solarte’s line sits at .270/.354/.532 with nine homers, 22 RBIs and 21 runs.

Pillar seemed to enjoy hitting lefties at home last year, slashing .333/.364/.583 over 77 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .255/.300/.403).

In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.30 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.05 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.12, along with a WHIP of 1.44.

Mariners hitters have slashed .256/.321/.429 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Seattle’s hitters have been powered by right fielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano. Haniger is slashing .297/.380/.627 with 10 home runs, 27 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Cano (.283/.392/.425) is up to three homers, 18 RBIs and 20 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .280/.338/.453, Cano performed well against right-handed pitchers last year, maintaining a slash line of .312/.371/.519 across 455 plate appearances.

The Mariners have gained 2.7 units and are 12-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 0.8 units and are 8-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in six of those games, as opposed to four which went under the total.

Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Toronto has recorded 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 19 over their last 10.