Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays are playing host to the Seattle Mariners at Rogers Centre. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET and this AL matchup will be televised on both RTNW and RSN.

Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Seattle (+120) is the underdog to Toronto (-130) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds sitting at Mariners +1.5 runs (-175) and Blue Jays +-1.5 runs (+155).

The Mariners are 20-14 SU and have gone 20-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 6.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 7.0 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 19-17 SU and 19-16 ATS. The teams gained 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 2.9 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in three of those seven.

Toronto games have an over/under record of 16-14-5 so far in 2018. The Mariners have been a decent over bet with a total record of 21-12.

Wade LeBlanc will get the nod for the Mariners. The southpaw LeBlanc is 0-0 with a 3.57 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Blue Jays are sending lefty Jaime Garcia (2-2, 6.00 ERA) to the mound. Garcia has 32 punchouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.57. Garcia did not record a start against the Mariners in 2017.

As a unit, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.40 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 3.03, a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 9.0.

Toronto’s offense is putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 2.2 per game over its last five. The teams hit .165/.205/.323 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Blue Jays batters have been led by outfielder Kevin Pillar and third baseman Yangervis Solarte. Pillar is hitting .309/.356/.537 with four home runs, 16 RBIs, 23 runs and six stolen bases, while Solarte is hitting .264 with nine homers, 22 RBIs and 21 runs.

Pillar seemed to enjoy hitting lefties at home last year. Over 77 such plate appearances, he slashed .333/.364/.583 (his total season line was .255/.300/.403).

In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.04 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.12, along with a WHIP of 1.39 and a K/9 of 10.30.

Mariners hitters have slashed .258/.323/.430 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.5 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Seattle’s hitters have been powered by outfielders Mitch Haniger and Dee Gordon. Haniger is hitting .289/.369/.612 with 10 home runs, 28 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Gordon is hitting .353/.375/.446 with one homers, eight RBIs, 21 runs and 15 stolen bases.

Haniger didn’t do as well batting against lefty pitching in 2017. Across 97 plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .250/.289/.446 (his total season line was .282/.352/.491).

The Mariners have gained 3.4 units and are 8-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 0.8 units and are 8-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in six of those games, as opposed to four which went under the total.

Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Both teams have hit 16 home runs over their last 10 games.
  • Toronto has averaged 20.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 12.6 over its last five.