Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners will be facing off against their divisional rival Texas Rangers at Globe Life Park. The matchup gets underway at 8:05 p.m. ET and you can catch it on either RTNW or FSSW.

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Texas (+140) as the underdog to Seattle (-150). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 and the under for -105. Gamblers can also bet on the games spread with the current runline odds sitting at Mariners -1.5 runs (-105) and Rangers 1.5 runs (-115).

The Mariners are 10-8 SU and have gone 11-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.3 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the season and 4.7 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Rangers, on the other hand, are 7-14 SU and 8-12 ATS. They’ve lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.4 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Texas games have an over/under record of 9-10-1 so far in 2018. The Mariners have an over/under record of 11-6.

James Paxton will get the start for Seattle. The southpaw Paxton is 1-1 with a 4.57 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He has yet to face Texas this year, but he made three starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-2 record with a 5.28 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

The Rangers are going with righty Bartolo Colon (0-0, 1.45 ERA), who has 17 punchouts and two walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 0.70. Colon did not record a start against the Mariners in 2017.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.79 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.33 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.29, along with a K-per-9 of 9.69.

The Mariners offense has slashed .249/.313/.402 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Seattle’s hitters have been powered by right fielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano. Haniger is hitting .290/.384/.565 with five home runs, 17 RBIs and eight runs scored, while Cano has a .311 average with one homers, seven RBIs and 13 runs scored.

Cano seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching last year, putting up a slash line of .312/.371/.519 across 455 plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .280/.338/.453).

In the home-team dugout, Texas pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.15, a WHIP of 1.51 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 3.71 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 15 games against divisional foes, Rangers starters have an ERA of 4.72 and the bullpens ERA is 4.53.

Texas hitters have produced 3.3 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .219/.283/.343 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Rangers offense has been led by Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo. Andrus is slashing .327/.426/.500 with 17 hits, five RBIs and seven runs scored, and Choo’s line is .238/.311/.475 with 19 hits, five homers, nine RBIs and 13 runs.

Choo did not seem to enjoy hitting against left-handed pitching at home last year. Across 69 such plate appearances, he slashed .254/.362/.305 (his total season line was .261/.357/.423).

The Mariners have lost 0.8 units and are 6-6 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rangers have lost 2.4 units and are 1-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to two which went under the total.

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Rangers have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • Texas has recorded 18.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.4 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rangers have hit 13 over their last 10.