Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners will square off against their AL West nemesis Oakland Athletics at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum. The matchup will begin at 4:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports – California to catch the action.

Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics Odds

Vegas is listing Oakland (-135) as the favorite over Seattle (+125). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds listed at -120 for over 9 runs and even money (+100) for under 9. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -170 for the Mariners +1.5 runs and +150 for the Athletics -1.5.

The Athletics are 81-56 straight up (SU) and 71-65 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 31.2 units for moneyline bettors and 4.5 units (ATS). Oakland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, have gone 76-60 SU this year and are 67-68 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 12.1 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 6.8 units ATS. Seattle is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Oakland games have had an over/under record of 60-67-9 in 2018. The Mariners have an over/under record of 66-67-2.

The right-handed Felix Hernandez is getting the start for the visiting Mariners. Hernandez is 8-12 with a 5.49 ERA and 116 strikeouts. He’s 1-3 with 18 strikeouts and a 4.13 ERA against Oakland this year (three starts).

The Athletics are putting the ball in the right hand of Edwin Jackson (4-3, 3.03 ERA), who’s got 49 strikeouts and 24 walks this season as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Jackson hasn’t faced the Mariners yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.40 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.94, along with a K/9 of 8.94.

Mariners hitters have slashed .256/.316/.410 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Seattle’s offense has been sparked by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Mitch Haniger. The speedy Segura is slashing .321/.353/.442 with nine home runs, 60 RBIs, 81 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Haniger is hitting .280 with 23 homers, 84 RBIs and 72 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Oakland’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.17, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.6. The bullpen has a 3.29 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 63 divisional games, Athletics starters have an ERA of 5.24 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.60.

Oakland’s offense is putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .220/.328/.375 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Marcus Semien and second baseman Jed Lowrie have led the Athletics’ hitters this year. Semien is slashing .261/.323/.386 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs, 77 runs and 13 stolen bases, and Lowrie’s line is .274/.358/.470 with 21 homers, 84 RBIs and 61 runs scored.

The Mariners have gained 16.3 units and are 45-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Athletics have netted 25.5 units and are 45-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 42 which went under the total.

Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Athletics, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Seattle has tallied 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Oakland has 16 XBH over its last five.
  • Oakland has recorded 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Athletics have hit 17 over their last 10.