Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners are making a road trip to Houston to play their divisional rival Astros at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will be showing the action and the game will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Odds

Vegas is listing Houston (-175) as the favorite over Seattle (+165). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and +100 for under 8.5. The game’s current runline odds sit at -135 for picking the Mariners +1.5 runs and +115 for the Astros -1.5.

The Mariners have gone 82-67 SU this year and are 72-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.3 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 11.7 units ATS. The Astros, on the other hand, are 94-55 SU and 76-72 ATS. The team has lost 5.8 units for moneyline bettors and 3.8 units ATS.

Astros games have had an over/under record of 66-75-7 in 2018. The Mariners have an over/under record of 72-74-2.

Left-hander Wade LeBlanc will get the nod for Seattle. LeBlanc is 8-4 with a 3.56 ERA and 114 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and an 8.31 ERA against Houston this year (three starts).

The Astros will put the ball in the hands of Framber Valdez (3-1, 2.66 ERA), who has 18 strikeouts and 14 walks this season as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Valdez is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Seattle this year.

As a unit, Houston’s pitchers have given up 3.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.19 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.98, a WHIP of 1.05 and a K/9 of 10.8. In 70 divisional games, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.51 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.50.

The Houston offense is putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .271/.379/.398 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Astros’ hitters have been led by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve. Bregman is hitting .294/.401/.551 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs and 101 runs scored, and Altuve’s line is .319/.387/.459 with 12 homers, 57 RBIs, 78 runs and 16 steals.

For the visiting squad, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.29 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.74 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.83, along with a K-per-9 of 9.07.

The Mariners offense has slashed .254/.315/.407 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Seattle’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Mitch Haniger. The speedy Segura is slashing .308/.341/.421 with nine home runs, 60 RBIs, 84 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Haniger is hitting .282/.363/.493 with 25 homers, 89 RBIs and 80 runs scored.

The Astros have lost 7.5 units and are 27-30 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under against lefties.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Houston’s last seven games.
  • The Astros have won five of their last six games SU.
  • Houston has posted 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.4 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 games.