San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres are set to host their division rival San Francisco Giants at PETCO Park. Fox Sports San Diego will broadcast the matchup and the game gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Odds

Vegas is listing San Francisco (+105) as the underdog to San Diego (-115). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 7.5 runs and -115 for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -200 for the Giants +1.5 runs and +170 for the Padres -1.5.

The Giants are 70-80 SU and are 81-68 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, losing 1.4 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 8.8 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 60-90 SU and 71-78 ATS. They’ve lost 14.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 29.4 units ATS. San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

San Diego games have an over/under record of 71-73-5 in 2018. The Giants have been a great under bet with a total record of 61-82-6.

Left-hander Andrew Suarez will get the start for the visiting Giants. Suarez is 6-11 with a 4.33 ERA and 121 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 2.13 ERA against San Diego this year (two starts).

The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of righty Bryan Mitchell (1-3, 6.07 ERA), who’s got 27 strikeouts and 40 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.84. Mitchell is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against San Francisco this year.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.13, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 3.54 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 64 games against NL West opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.49 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.35.

San Diego’s hitters have produced 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .226/.302/.372 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .250/.316/.401 with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Galvis is batting .233 with 11 homers, 61 RBIs and 53 runs.

For the visitors, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.91 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.17 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.61, along with a WHIP of 1.30.

The Giants offense has slashed .241/.305/.372 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen continue to lead San Francisco’s offense. Crawford is slashing .254/.319/.388 with 12 home runs, 51 RBIs and 57 runs scored. McCutchen (.255/.357/.415) has produced 15 homers, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Giants have lost 2.5 units and are 49-42 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 13.9 units and are 18-30 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 27 of those games, as opposed to 19 which went under the total.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in only one of San Francisco’s last seven contests.
  • The Giants have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • San Francisco has averaged 15.7 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 games and 16.2 over its last five.