San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants will head east to face the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. This NL showdown will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to NBC Sports Philadelphia.

San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Vegas has placed matching moneyline odds (-105) on both of these teams. Bettors can wager on the games total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and +100 for under 8.5. The games most recent runline odds sit at +140 for taking the Giants -1.5 runs and -160 for the Phillies +1.5.

The Phillies are 18-15 SU and 12-20 ATS. They’ve gained 2.5 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 11.7 units against the spread (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Giants have gone 19-15 SU this year and are 22-11 ATS. In total, the teams gained 6.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline through the early part of the season and 10.1 units ATS. San Franciscohas covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.

Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 15-14-3 thus far in 2018. Giants games have gone over 17 times, gone under 16 times and pushed on zero instances.

Jeff Samardzija is getting the start for San Francisco. The right-handed Samardzija is 1-1 with a 5.27 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 6.00 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).

The Phillies will turn to righty Zach Eflin (0-0, 1.50 ERA) to the mound. Eflin has four strikeouts and zero walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 0.50. Eflin only made one start against the Giants in 2017 (0-1, 10.80 ERA and two strikeouts across five innings).

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.03, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.19, a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 9.2.

The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .243/.309/.407 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Rhys Hoskins and Odubel Herrera have led the Phillies offense this year. Hoskins is hitting .282/.429/.509 with five home runs, 23 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Herrera’s line sits at .333/.391/.483 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.81 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.27 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.58, along with a K-per-9 of 7.83.

Giants hitters have slashed .254/.320/.396 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 6.5 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

First baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey have led San Francisco’s offense. Belt is hitting .298/.422/.548 with six home runs, 17 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Posey (.307/.377/.436) is up to two homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .320/.400/.462, Posey appeared to take a step back when hitting righties on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of only .276/.357/.400 across 210 such plate appearances.

The Giants have lost 0.5 units and are 9-6 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 0.2 units and are 8-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to 12 which went under the total.

San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Giants have won seven of their last eight games SU.
  • San Francisco fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for Philadelphia over its last 10.
  • The Giants have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 11 over their last 10.