San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants are ready to face the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. NBC Sports Philadelphia is in line to televise this NL showdown and the game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

San Francisco (+175) is hosting this game as the underdog to Philadelphia (-185) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds sitting at -125 for the Giants +1.5 runs and +105 for the Phillies -1.5.

The Giants have gone 19-16 SU this year and are 23-11 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 8.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 11.1 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 19-15 SU and 13-20 ATS. They’ve gained 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 10.7 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 16-14-3 so far in 2018. The Giants have an over/under record of 17-17.

Southpaw Derek Holland is getting the nod for the visiting Giants. Holland is 1-3 with a 5.70 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Phillies will send righty Aaron Nola (4-1, 2.17 ERA) to the mound. Nola has 35 punchouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a 0.92 WHIP. Nola only made one start against the Giants in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and three strikeouts across five innings).

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starters have a 3.88 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.13, a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 9.2.

The Philadelphia hitters have produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The teams hit .264/.328/.489 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Rhys Hoskins and Odubel Herrera have led the Phillies offense so far. Hoskins is slashing .281/.428/.500 with five home runs, 23 RBIs and 21 runs scored, and Herrera’s line is .341/.401/.537 with five homers, 20 RBIs and 19 runs.

For the visiting squad, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.26 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.83, along with a K/9 of 7.80.

Giants hitters have slashed .252/.318/.391 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 5.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

San Francisco’s offensive production been powered by first baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey. Belt is slashing .290/.417/.533 with six home runs, 17 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Posey is hitting .317/.385/.442 with two homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .320/.400/.462, Posey had some trouble hitting right-handed pitchers on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of only .276/.357/.400 across 210 such plate appearances.

The Giants have gained 0.9 units and are 10-6 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 2.3 units and are 4-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to two which went under the total.

San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • San Francisco fielders have 14 errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for Philadelphia over its last 10.
  • The Giants have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.