San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

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Kevin Pillar and the surging San Francisco Giants will make a road trip to Milwaukee to face the Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise this NL showdown and the opening pitch will be at 8:10 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-170) is the favorite over San Francisco (+160) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). There’s a runline of Giants +1.5 (-135) and Brewers -1.5 (+115) for this matchup.

The Brewers are 47-44 straight up (SU) and 41-50 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Giants have gone 41-48 SU this year and are 45-44 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 1.6 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 9.6 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.

Brewers games have a 40-48-3 over/under record thus far in 2019. The Giants have been a decent over bet with a total record of 47-37-5.

Shaun Anderson will get the start for San Francisco. The right-handed Anderson (3-2, 4.23 ERA) has recorded 32 strikeouts in 55.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Brewers are turning to righty Chase Anderson (4-2, 4.32 ERA), who’s got 67 strikeouts and 23 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Anderson is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA in one start against San Francisco this year.

San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.99 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.22 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.90, along with a WHIP of 1.41.

The Giants offense has slashed .230/.299/.385 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 6.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

San Francisco’s hitters have been led by Kevin Pillar and Joe Panik. Pillar is hitting .256/.286/.436 with 12 home runs, 47 RBIs, 46 runs and eight stolen bases, while Panik (.228/.305/.314) has produced three homers, 22 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.82, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

Milwaukee’s hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .204/.277/.389 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Brewers’ offense has been led by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas. Yelich is slashing .329/.433/.707 with 31 home runs, 67 RBIs, 66 runs and 19 steals, while the line for Moustakas stands at .263/.334/.551 with 25 homers, 53 RBIs and 54 runs.

The Giants have gained 3.5 units and are 31-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, as opposed to 25 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 1.6 units and are 30-35 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 32 that went under the total.

Giants at Brewers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • San Francisco has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Milwaukee has 15 XBH over its last five.
  • The Giants have won six of their last seven games SU while the Brewers have lost five of their last six.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 16.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.4 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 16 home runs over their last 10 games.
  • The Giants have a total OPS of .684 this season and an OPS of .687 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .772 overall and .773 versus righties.