San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick

The San Francisco Giants are heading east to take on the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will broadcast this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Miami (+150) is the underdog to San Francisco (-160) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds sitting at -110 for the Giants -1.5 runs and -110 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Giants are 33-32 SU and have gone 37-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 8.4 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 23-42 SU and 32-32 ATS. They’ve lost 4.6 units for moneyline bettors and 7.3 units ATS.

Marlins games have had an over/under record of 32-32 so far in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 33-29-2.

Madison Bumgarner will get the nod for San Francisco. The left-handed Bumgarner is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA and three strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 6.00 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).

The Marlins are preparing to start lefty Wei-Yin Chen (1-3, 5.86 ERA), who’s got 26 punchouts and 18 walks, as well as a 1.56 WHIP. Chen did not record a start against the Giants in 2017.

San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.66 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.11 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.83, along with a K/9 of 8.54.

The Giants offense has slashed .264/.326/.421 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

San Francisco’s hitters have been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and outfielder Andrew McCutchen, who collectively have launched 14 home runs. Crawford is slashing .338/.385/.536 with eight home runs, 30 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while McCutchen (.260/.351/.433) is up to six homers, 29 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has yielded 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have a 4.55 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.34 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

The Miami offense has produced 3.4 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .224/.309/.371 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Marlins offense has been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .303/.377/.422 with three home runs, 30 RBIs and 33 runs scored, and Castro’s line is .289/.337/.402 with three homers, 24 RBIs and 39 runs scored.

The Giants have gained 5.3 units and are 15-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 0.3 units and are 10-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs hit in eight of those games, compared to eight that went under.

San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Miami’s last seven games.
  • The Giants have won three of their last four games SU while the Marlins have lost three of their last four SU.
  • San Francisco has posted 25.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.6 over its last five.
  • The Giants have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit eight over their last 10.