San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants are set to face the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will be showing this NL showdown and the game is slated to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Both teams have equal -105 moneyline odds and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds sitting at +140 for the Giants -1.5 runs and -160 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.

The Giants have gone 33-34 SU this year and are 38-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.6 units ATS. San Francisco is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 25-42 SU and 33-33 ATS. The team has lost 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.3 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Miami games have an over/under record of 33-33 thus far in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 34-30-2.

Andrew Suarez is getting the start for San Francisco. The southpaw Suarez is 2-4 with a 5.06 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins will send lefty Caleb Smith (5-6, 3.70 ERA) to the mound. Smith has 79 strikeouts and 30 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Smith did not record a start against the Giants in 2017.

Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.54, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 5.22 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

The Miami offense is putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .204/.301/.329 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro have paced the Marlins offense this year. Anderson is slashing .311/.384/.446 with four home runs, 32 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Castro’s line is .288/.335/.397 with three homers, 25 RBIs and 39 runs.

For the visitors, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.68 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.02 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.88, along with a WHIP of 1.38 and a K-per-9 of 8.60.

Giants hitters have slashed .262/.325/.415 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

San Francisco’s hitters have been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and outfielder Andrew McCutchen, who’ve collectively blasted 14 home runs. Crawford is hitting .329/.377/.522 with eight home runs, 32 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while McCutchen is slashing .259/.350/.431 with six homers, 30 RBIs and 37 runs scored.

The Giants have gained 3.8 units and are 15-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 2.2e-16 units and are 11-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to nine which went under the total.

San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Giants have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • San Francisco has posted 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.2 over its last five.
  • The Giants have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.