San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants are ready to play the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio will be showing this NL matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Both teams have equal -105 moneyline odds and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +140 for the Giants -1.5 runs and -160 for the Reds +1.5 runs.

The Reds are 69-53 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 54-69 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 5.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.6 units (ATS). Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Giants are 61-63 SU and have gone 69-54 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 6.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 13.9 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Cincinnati games have had an over/under record of 64-54-4 in 2018. San Francisco has been a decent under bet with a total record of 55-63-5.

Andrew Suarez will get the start for the visiting Giants. The left-handed Suarez (4-8, 4.40 ERA) has racked up 100 punchouts in 116.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds will turn to righty Luis Castillo (6-10, 5.04 ERA) to the mound. Castillo has 120 punchouts and 40 walks to his name, as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Castillo hasn’t faced the Giants yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.18, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.8 K/9.

The Cincinnati offense has produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .269/.330/.474 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Reds’ hitters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is hitting .313/.362/.490 with 18 home runs, 70 RBIs and 72 runs scored, and Peraza’s line is .289/.331/.403 with seven homers, 40 RBIs, 65 runs and 18 steals.

For the visitors, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.18 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.23 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.61, along with a WHIP of 1.36.

The Giants offense has slashed .248/.314/.384 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Outfielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford continue to lead San Francisco’s hitters. McCutchen is slashing .257/.354/.415 with 14 home runs, 53 RBIs and 60 runs scored. Crawford (.269/.339/.420) is up to 11 homers, 45 RBIs and 52 runs scored.

The Giants have gained 4.0 units and are 42-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have netted 5.5 units and are 20-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 12 which went under the total.

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • San Francisco has recorded 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.8 over its last five.
  • The Giants have hit two home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit nine over their last 10.