San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants will be facing off against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. This NL matchup will be televised nationally on ESPN2 and the opening pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs Odds

The Cubs are 26-22 SU and 21-26 ATS. They’ve lost 5.2 units for moneyline bettors and 5.8 units against the spread (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Giants have gone 25-27 SU this year and are 29-22 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 0.6 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the year and 4.5 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Chicago games have a 20-26-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Giants have an over/under record of 26-23-2.

The southpaw Ty Blach is the probable starter for San Francisco. Blach is 3-4 with a 4.37 ERA and 27 strikeouts. This will be his first outing against Chicago this year. He made two starts against the Cubs in 2017, compiling a 2-0 record against them with a 3.21 ERA and six strikeouts.

The Cubs are putting the ball in the right hand of Tyler Chatwood (3-4, 3.74 ERA, 1.62 WHIP), who has 41 strikeouts and 40 walks. Chatwood made five starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 2-1 record in 2017, compiling a 2-1 record with a 2.70 ERA and 18 strikeouts.

As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.77, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.81, a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 9.3.

The Chicago hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .236/.328/.398 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Third baseman Kris Bryant and second baseman Javier Baez have paced the Cubs offense this year. Bryant is slashing .293/.411/.551 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Baez line sits at .262/.295/.563 with 12 homers, 39 RBIs, 30 runs and seven stolen bases.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .273/.317/.480, Baez enjoyed batting against left-handed pitching at home last year, producing .358/.397/.679 across 58 plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.65 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 6.97 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.21, along with a K/9 of 8.32.

Giants hitters have slashed .257/.320/.408 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

San Francisco’s hitters have been powered by first baseman Brandon Belt and shortstop Brandon Crawford. Belt is slashing .316/.413/.580 with 11 home runs, 31 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Crawford is slashing .312/.358/.491 with six homers, 23 RBIs and 20 runs scored.

The Giants have lost 6.5 units and are 15-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 0.6 units and are 6-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs hit in five of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.

San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • San Francisco fielders have committed three errors over their last five games, compared to zero errors for Chicago over its last five.
  • The Giants have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.