San Francisco Giants at Houston Astros Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants will head east to play the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will televise this interleague showdown. The game is scheduled to get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants vs. Houston Astros Odds

Houston (-270) is favored over San Francisco (+235) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Runline odds stand at +110 for betting the Giants +1.5 runs and -130 for the Astros -1.5.

The Giants are 24-24 SU and have gone 29-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.5 units for moneyline bettors in the seasons early going and 7.5 units ATS. San Francisco’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 30-18 SU and 26-22 ATS. The team has lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.0 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Astros games have an over/under record of 15-30-3 so far in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 25-21-2.

The southpaw Andrew Suarez will get the start for the visiting Giants. Suarez is 1-3 with a 4.88 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Astros will send righty Gerrit Cole (4-1, 1.75 ERA) to the mound. Cole has 93 punchouts and 14 walks to his name, as well as a 0.79 WHIP. Cole made two starts against the Giants in 2017, posting a 1-1 record with a 7.15 ERA.

Houston’s pitching staff has allowed 2.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The clubs starters have an ERA of 2.25, a WHIP of 0.94 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.5. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.89, a WHIP of 1.05 and a K/9 of 9.9.

The Houston offense has produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The teams hit .247/.287/.414 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Carlos Correa and right fielder George Springer have led the Astros offense this year. Correa is hitting .274/.364/.494 with eight home runs, 31 RBIs and 28 runs scored, and Springer’s line is .292/.354/.492 with nine homers, 28 RBIs and 34 runs scored.

Correa seemed to enjoy hitting lefty pitching last season, slashing .391/.457/.609 across 105 plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .315/.391/.550).

In the visiting dugout, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.55 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 6.94 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.01, along with a WHIP of 1.35.

The Giants offense has slashed .261/.322/.412 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

San Francisco’s hitters have been led by first baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey. Belt is hitting .313/.413/.594 with 11 home runs, 29 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Posey (.306/.380/.431) is up to two homers, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .320/.400/.462, Posey did not perform especially well against righties on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of just .276/.357/.400 across 210 such plate appearances.

The Giants have lost 3.5 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 3.5 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in five of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under.

San Francisco Giants at Houston Astros MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Astros have won four of their last five games SU.
  • Houston has posted 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.6 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 13 home runs over their last 10 games.