San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants will be facing off against the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. FOX Sports South will showcase this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Atlanta (-140) as the favorite over San Francisco (+130). The total is sitting at 9 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Giants +1.5 runs (-170) and Braves +-1.5 runs (+150).

The Giants have gone 18-15 SU this year and are 21-11 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.5 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going and 9.1 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 19-13 SU and 20-11 ATS. The teams gained 11.1 units for moneyline bettors and 9.3 units ATS.

Atlanta games have a 15-13-3 over/under record thus far in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 16-16.

Andrew Suarez will get the start for San Francisco. The left-handed Suarez is 0-1 with a 4.38 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Braves are sending Mike Soroka (1-0, 1.50 ERA) to the mound. Soroka has five strikeouts and zero walks to his credit, as well as a 1.00 WHIP. Soroka did not pitch in the majors last season.

San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.19 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.54, along with a K-per-9 of 8.00.

Giants hitters have slashed .253/.318/.397 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.3 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 7.4 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

First baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey have led San Francisco’s offense. Belt is hitting .300/.423/.560 with six home runs, 17 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Posey is hitting .307 with two homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

For the home team, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.64, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The Atlanta offense is putting up 5.6 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .306/.349/.508 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Braves hitters have been led by outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is hitting .354/.439/.567 with six home runs, 25 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Freeman’s line is .309/.419/.545 with five homers, 25 RBIs and 24 runs.

Freeman didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against lefty pitching at home last season. Across 69 such plate appearances, he slashed .222/.275/.397 (compared to his overall season line of .307/.403/.586).

The Giants have lost 1.6 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a y starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 2.4 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs hit in two of those games, compared to two that went under the total.

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in just two of San Francisco’s last seven games.
  • The Giants have won six of their last seven games SU.
  • The San Francisco defense has allowed 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for Atlanta over its last 10.
  • The Giants have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 15 over their last 10.