San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

Jonathan GarosArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants will square off against the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. This NL matchup will be televised nationwide on Fox and the game gets underway 1:05 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

St. Louis (-170) is hosting this one as the favorite against San Francisco (+160) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this day game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. The game’s current runline odds sit at -135 for taking the Giants +1.5 runs and +115 for the Cardinals -1.5.

The Giants are 72-82 SU and have gone 84-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 10.1 units ATS. San Francisco’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 85-69 SU and 80-73 ATS. The team’s gained 3.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.5 units ATS. St. Louis has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Cardinals games have an over/under record of 72-75-6 in 2018. The Giants have been a strong under bet with a total record of 63-84-6.

Dereck Rodriguez will get the nod for the visiting Giants. Rodriguez is 6-4 with a 2.30 ERA and 86 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA against St. Louis this year.

The Cardinals are putting the ball in the hands of righty Adam Wainwright (2-3, 3.72 ERA), who’s got 27 strikeouts and 17 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.55. Wainwright has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.42 ERA and six strikeouts across six and 1-third innings).

St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.31 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The St. Louis offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .279/.358/.465 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Left fielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez have paced the Cardinals’ batters this year. Ozuna is hitting .281/.324/.435 with 22 home runs, 85 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Martinez’s line is .304/.363/.451 with 16 homers, 80 RBIs and 61 runs.

For the visitors, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.95 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.17 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.61, along with a K/9 of 8.88.

Giants hitters have slashed .241/.305/.373 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 2.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen continue to lead San Francisco’s offense. Crawford is slashing .258/.326/.396 with 13 home runs, 52 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while McCutchen (.255/.357/.415) has produced 15 homers, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Giants have lost 2.5 units and are 51-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under against ies.

San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • The over has hit in five of St. Louis’ last seven games.
  • The Cardinals have won four of their last five games SU.
  • St. Louis has recorded 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.6 over its last five.
  • The Giants have hit four home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.