San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants will be facing off against their in-state foe San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The matchup will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports San Diego to catch the action.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Odds

Vegas is listing San Diego (-125) as the favorite over San Francisco (+115). The total is sitting at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for even money (+100). The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -180 for betting the Giants +1.5 runs and +160 for the Padres -1.5.

The Giants have gone 71-80 SU this year and are 82-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.4 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 9.8 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 60-91 SU and 72-78 ATS. They’ve lost 12.9 units for moneyline bettors and 28.4 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 72-73-5 in 2018. The Giants have been a strong under bet with a total record of 61-83-6.

The southpaw Derek Holland will get the nod for San Francisco. Holland (7-8, 3.46 ERA) has racked up 159 punchouts in 158.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 4.91 ERA against San Diego this year (three starts).

The Padres will put the ball in the left hand of Joey Lucchesi (8-8, 3.67 ERA), who has 123 strikeouts and 40 walks as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Lucchesi is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against San Francisco this year.

San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.89 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.15 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.60, along with a K-per-9 of 8.81.

The Giants offense has slashed .241/.305/.373 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

San Francisco’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Crawford is hitting .255/.320/.395 with 13 home runs, 52 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while McCutchen (.255/.357/.415) is up to 15 homers, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.14, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 3.52 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 65 games against divisional opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.30.

San Diego’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .214/.309/.371 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have led the way for the Padres’ hitters this year. Hosmer is slashing .249/.314/.398 with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Galvis has produced a line of .233/.288/.354 with 11 homers, 61 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

The Giants have gained 1.1 units and are 32-26 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 12.8 units and are 19-30 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 28 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in six of San Francisco’s last seven games.
  • The Giants have won three of their last four games SU.
  • San Francisco has recorded 16.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.
  • The Giants have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 15 over their last 10.