San Francisco Giants at New York Mets Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants will head east to face the New York Mets at Citi Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will broadcast this NL matchup.

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets Odds

Vegas has listed New York (-120) as the favorite over San Francisco (+110). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over eight runs and -115 for under eight. Runline odds sit at -190 for taking the Giants +1.5 runs and +165 for the Mets -1.5 runs.

The Giants are 61-64 SU and are 69-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.8 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 54-69 SU and 56-65 ATS. The team’s lost 18.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.3 units ATS.

Mets games have an over/under record of 53-62-6 in 2018. San Francisco has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 55-64-5.

Derek Holland is getting the nod for the visiting Giants. The southpaw Holland is 6-8 with a 3.83 ERA and 132 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mets are putting the ball in the right hand of Zack Wheeler (8-6, 3.75 ERA), who’s got 136 punchouts and 46 walks as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Wheeler only made one start against the Giants in 2017 (1-0, 1.50 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

New York’s offense is putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 7.7 per game over its last 10 games and 8.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .316/.374/.477 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ hitters this year. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .247/.290/.372 with six homers, 40 RBIs, 54 runs and 14 steals.

For the visitors, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.23 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.24 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.65, along with a K-per-9 of 8.65.

Giants hitters have slashed .248/.313/.383 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Outfielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford continue to lead San Francisco’s offense. McCutchen is slashing .257/.354/.417 with 14 home runs, 53 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Crawford (.267/.337/.417) has produced 11 homers, 45 RBIs and 52 runs scored.

The Giants have gained 2.5 units and are 42-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 5.0 units and are 14-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 16 that went under.

San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
  • New York has recorded 30.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 33.0 over its last five.
  • The Giants have hit two home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 14 over their last 10.