San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

Jonathan GarosBaseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants are paying a visit to Milwaukee to face the Brewers at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be showing this NL matchup.

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Vegas is listing San Francisco (+145) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-155). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -150 for the Giants +1.5 runs and +130 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.

The Giants are 68-73 SU and have gone 77-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.4 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 79-62 SU and 72-69 ATS. The team’s gained 12.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.4 units ATS.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 69-68-4 in 2018. San Francisco has been a good under bet with a total record of 60-75-6.

Left-hander Derek Holland is projected to start for the visiting Giants. Holland is 7-8 with a 3.56 ERA and 144 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Brewers are putting the ball in the right hand of Chase Anderson (9-7, 3.96 ERA), who has 114 strikeouts and 51 walks this season as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Anderson is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against San Francisco this year.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 4.00 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 6.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .271/.398/.418 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have paced the Brewers’ hitters this year. Yelich is slashing .316/.380/.556 with 27 home runs, 85 RBIs, 96 runs and 16 steals, and Cain’s line is .309/.402/.434 with 10 homers, 35 RBIs, 76 runs and 26 steals.

For the visiting squad, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.99 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.17 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.64, along with a K/9 of 8.80.

Giants hitters have slashed .242/.307/.377 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Right fielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford have led San Francisco’s offense. McCutchen is slashing .255/.357/.415 with 15 home runs, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Crawford is hitting .257/.324/.400 with 12 homers, 50 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

The Giants have gained 0.1 units and are 47-39 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 34 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 2.5 units and are 16-20 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve cashed the under.

San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • The over has cashed in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Giants have dropped six of their last seven games SU.
  • San Francisco fielders have four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.
  • The Giants have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.