San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to host their divisional rival San Francisco Giants at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

San Francisco (+170) is entering this game as the underdog against Arizona (-180) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the games total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Giants +1.5 runs (-130) and Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (+110).

The Giants have gone 56-56 SU this year and are 62-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 7.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 12.3 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 62-50 SU and 57-54 ATS. They’ve gained 5.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.4 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 53-53-5 in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 52-55-4.

Derek Holland will get the nod for San Francisco. The left-handed Holland is 5-8 with a 3.90 ERA and 114 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 17 strikeouts and a 4.61 ERA against Arizona this year (three starts).

The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the left hand of Robbie Ray (3-2, 5.05 ERA, 1.39 WHIP), who has 87 strikeouts and 33 walks this season. Ray is 0-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 4.22 ERA across two starts against San Francisco this year.

Arizona’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The teams starters have an ERA of 3.99, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.12, a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 7.9. In 49 divisional games, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 4.16 and the bullpens ERA is 3.90.

The Arizona hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The teams hit .308/.381/.509 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks hitters have been led by outfielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Peralta is slashing .296/.354/.503 with 17 home runs, 54 RBIs and 51 runs scored, and Goldschmidt is hitting .277 with 24 homers, 60 RBIs and 70 runs.

In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.32 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.14 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.50, along with a K/9 of 8.68.

The Giants offense has slashed .252/.317/.393 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

San Francisco’s offensive production has been powered by right fielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford. McCutchen is hitting .264/.355/.424 with 12 home runs, 46 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Crawford is hitting .276/.343/.425 with 10 homers, 44 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

The Giants have lost 0.6 units and are 23-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 1.3 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 19 that went under the total.

San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • San Francisco has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Arizona has 17 XBH over its last five.
  • The Giants have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • San Francisco has recorded 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.2 over its last five.