San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Washington Nationals are facing off against the San Diego Padres at Nationals Park. The game gets underway 4:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing this NL matchup.

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals Odds

The Padres have gone 20-30 SU this year and are 24-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.4 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the season and 8.3 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 26-21 SU and 23-23 ATS. The teams lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.9 units ATS. Washington has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Neither team has been a strong over/under bet this season. Washington games have a 21-23-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Padres games have gone under 24 times, gone over 23 times and pushed on two instances.

Tyson Ross is getting the start for the visiting Padres. The right-handed Ross is 3-3 with a 3.35 ERA and 55 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA against Washington this year.

The Nationals are putting the ball in the hands of righty Erick Fedde (0-0, ERA), who’s got zero strikeouts and zero walks to his name, as well as a WHIP. Fedde hasn’t faced the Padres yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Washington’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 2.92, a WHIP of 1.05 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.2. The bullpen has a 4.56 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The Washington hitters have produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The teams hit .227/.288/.393 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Trea Turner and second baseman Howie Kendrick have led the charge for the Nationals batters so far. Turner is slashing .270/.369/.432 with six home runs, 19 RBIs, 29 runs and 13 stolen bases, and Kendrick is batting .303 with four homers, 12 RBIs and 17 runs.

Turner performed well against righties at home last year. Across 155 such plate appearances, he slashed .312/.374/.532 (his overall season line was .285/.340/.455).

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.92 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.27 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.21, along with a K/9 of 9.44.

Padres hitters have slashed .227/.296/.364 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Left fielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led San Diego’s offense. Pirela is hitting .266/.325/.349 with 51 hits, 16 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Hosmer is hitting .263/.361/.469 with 46 hits, six homers, 20 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 2.1 units and are 18-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have netted 5.8 units and are 16-14 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 14 that went under the total.

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Padres have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
  • San Diego has recorded 19.1 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.4 over its last five.