San Diego Padres vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

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Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres are heading east to face the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. Fox Sports San Diego will broadcast this interleague matchup and the first pitch will be at 7:07 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Toronto (+110) is coming into this one as the underdog against San Diego (-120) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at nine runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. There’s a runline of Padres -1.5 (+125) and Blue Jays +1.5 (-145) for this matchup.

The Padres have gone 26-24 SU this year and are 22-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.4 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 9.3 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 20-30 SU and 25-24 ATS. They’ve lost 7.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.1 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 21-27-1 so far in 2019. The Padres have an over/under record of 22-26-2.

The left-handed Joey Lucchesi is projected to start for the visiting Padres. Lucchesi is 3-3 with a 4.28 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Blue Jays will put the ball in the right hand of Trent Thornton (1-4, 4.41 ERA), who has 50 strikeouts and 22 walks as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Thornton did not pitch in the majors in 2018.

San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.82 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 7.91 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.03, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 10.57.

The Padres offense has slashed .228/.289/.403 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have led San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .285/.340/.446 with seven home runs, 28 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Machado (.267/.346/.450) is up to nine homers, 26 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.26 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.82 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Toronto hitters have put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .214/.267/.434 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Blue Jays’ batters have been led by Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk. Galvis is hitting .264/.299/.427 with six home runs, 19 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Grichuk’s line is .241/.297/.428 with eight homers, 19 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

The Padres have gained 1.6 units and are 16-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 4.8 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.

Padres at Blue Jays Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in four of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • The Blue Jays have dropped three of their last four games SU.
  • Toronto has posted 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.4 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 17 over their last 10.
  • The Padres have an OPS of .693 this season and an OPS of .684 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS stands at .657 overall and .663 against righties.