San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will be squaring off against their divisional rival San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. The game gets underway 3:45 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will be airing the action.

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants Odds

Vegas is listing San Diego (+125) as the underdog to San Francisco (-135). Gamblers are able to wager on the games total with odds sitting at -115 for over 8 runs and -105 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -170 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +150 for the Giants -1.5.

The Giants are 15-15 SU and 19-10 ATS. The team has gained 4.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.5 units against the spread (ATS). The Padres have gone 11-20 SU this year and are 12-18 ATS. In total, the teams lost 6.9 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 10.6 units ATS.

San Francisco games have a 14-15 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 14-14-2.

The southpaw Clayton Richard will get the nod for San Diego. Richard is 1-3 with a 5.35 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against San Francisco this year (three starts).

The Giants are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Derek Holland (0-3, 5.76 ERA), who’s got 25 strikeouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.24. Holland is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 5.79 ERA against San Diego this year.

San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.18 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and 8.41 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.44, along with a WHIP of 1.60 and a K-per-9 of 9.73.

The Padres offense has slashed .228/.299/.371 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

San Diego’s offensive production been led by third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer, who collectively have launched 12 home runs. Villanueva is slashing .317/.404/.707 with nine home runs, 20 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Hosmer has a .298 average with three homers, five RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Hosmer did not seem to enjoy hitting against lefty pitching last season. Over 208 plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .284/.327/.433 (his overall season line was .318/.385/.498).

For the home team, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.99, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 22 games against divisional foes, Giants starters have an ERA of 3.75 and the bullpens ERA is 4.03.

San Francisco’s hitters have put up 3.6 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .254/.344/.379 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Giants hitters have been led by first baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey. Belt is slashing .292/.407/.562 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Posey’s line is .286/.365/.429 with 26 hits, 11 RBIs and 11 runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .241/.355/.469, Belt seemed to have a little trouble hitting lefty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .179/.276/.299 over 76 such plate appearances.

The Padres have lost 0.6 units and are 4-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 6.2 units and are 12-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under.

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in only two of San Francisco’s last seven games.
  • San Francisco has recorded 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.