San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will be squaring off against the New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York is in line to broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 12:10 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Odds

Both teams have equal -105 moneyline odds and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the odds sitting at +140 for the Padres -1.5 runs and -160 for the Mets +1.5 runs.

The Padres have gone 42-62 SU this year and are 48-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 24.1 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 41-57 SU and 42-54 ATS. They’ve lost 19.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 41-51-4 so far in 2018. The Padres have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 47-53-3.

Clayton Richard is getting the start for the visiting Padres. The left-handed Richard (7-9, 4.82 ERA) has racked up 95 strikeouts in 127 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 4.05 ERA against New York this year.

The Mets are turning to Corey Oswalt (0-2, 5.64 ERA), who’s got 15 strikeouts and six walks as well as a WHIP of 0.99. Oswalt has yet to face the Padres this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.98 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.72 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. The New York offense is putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .218/.317/.333 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Mets batters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is slashing .276/.327/.478 with 17 home runs, 54 RBIs and 46 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .249/.293/.382 with four homers, 24 RBIs and 37 runs.

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.91 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.65 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.62, along with a K/9 of 9.72.

Padres hitters have slashed .232/.298/.365 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela continue to lead San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is hitting .245/.310/.385 with 10 home runs, 42 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Pirela is hitting .259/.311/.352 with three homers, 27 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 8.4 units and are 11-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs hit in 10 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • San Diego has tallied 11 extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 12 XBH over its last five.
  • New York has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.8 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit eight over their last 10.