San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres are paying a visit to Milwaukee to square off against the Brewers at Miller Park. The game gets underway 8:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to broadcast this NL showdown.

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-190) is favored over San Diego (+180) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -125 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +105 for the Brewers -1.5.

The Brewers are 65-50 straight up (SU) and 60-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.7 units (ATS). The Padres have gone 44-70 SU this year and are 53-61 ATS. In total, the teams lost 14.2 units for moneyline bettors and 27.1 units ATS.

Brewers games have a 52-59-4 over/under record in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 53-56-5.

Clayton Richard will get the start for the visiting Padres. The left-handed Richard is 7-10 with a 4.99 ERA and 97 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Chase Anderson (7-7, 3.65 ERA), who has 96 strikeouts and 44 walks as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Anderson is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 3.88 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.

The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .240/.314/.469 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .326/.387/.542 with 17 home runs, 59 RBIs, 78 runs and 14 steals, while Cain’s line sits at .293/.389/.416 with eight homers, 30 RBIs, 55 runs and 19 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.08 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.55 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.53, along with a K-per-9 of 9.63.

The Padres offense has slashed .233/.298/.369 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

San Diego’s hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .254/.322/.389 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 49 runs scored, while Galvis (.237/.294/.346) is up to six homers, 42 RBIs and 37 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 5.1 units and are 40-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 34 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 1.1 units and are 12-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 11 which went under the total.

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in three of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.