San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins will do battle against the San Diego Padres at Marlins Park. Fox Sports San Diego is in line to televise this NL matchup and the opening pitch will be at 1:10 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Miami (-115) is favored over San Diego (+105) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the games total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -200 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +170 for the Marlins -1.5.

The Padres have gone 30-36 SU this year and are 33-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.8 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 23-41 SU and 31-32 ATS. They’ve lost 3.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.3 units ATS.

Neither team has positioned itself as an obvious over/under bet this season. Miami games have an over/under record of 31-32 thus far in 2018. Padres games have gone over 32 times, gone under 31 times and pushed on two occasions.

Clayton Richard will get the start for the Padres. The left-handed Richard is 4-6 with a 4.67 ERA and 66 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Miami this year.

The Marlins are turning to righty Jose Urena (1-7, 4.60 ERA), who has 61 strikeouts and 18 walks as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Urena is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against San Diego this year.

As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.55, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 5.41 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

The Miami offense is putting up 3.5 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .259/.355/.443 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Brian Anderson has helped lead the Marlins offense this year with three home runs, 30 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

For the visitors, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.02 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.24, along with a K/9 of 9.28.

The Padres offense has slashed .234/.302/.375 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Jose Pirela has led San Diego’s hitters so far and is slashing .277/.328/.356 with 70 hits, 19 RBIs and 37 runs scored.

The Padres are coming off a 5-4 victory in the prior game of this series.

San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in five of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • The Padres have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • San Diego has posted 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.8 over its last five.