San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres are set to face the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will be airing this interleague matchup and the action gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Houston (-125) as the favorite over San Diego (+105). Gamblers can bet on the games total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds sitting at +230 for the Padres +1.5 runs and -260 for the Astros -1.5.

The Padres have gone 2-7 SU this year and are 3-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.6 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going and 4.3 units ATS. The Astros are 7-2 SU and 5-3 ATS. The teams gained 1.5 units for moneyline bettors and 1.5 units ATS.

Astros games have an over/under record of 3-5 so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 4-3-1.

The Padres have lost 1.6 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 1.5 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to four that went under the total.

Tyson Ross (1-0, 4.50 ERA) will get the nod for San Diego. The right-handed Ross started 10 games last year while finishing the season 3-3 overall with a 7.71 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP.

The Stros are rolling with righty Charlie Morton (1-0, 0.00 ERA) as their starter. Morton recorded 163 strikeouts over 146 innings last year (25 starts), while finishing the season 14-7 overall with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP.

As a unit, Houston’s pitching staff has allowed 2.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 2.04 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 2.57 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

The Houston hitters have produced 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .242/.343/.363 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Carlos Correa and second baseman Jose Altuve have led the Astros’ offense this year. Correa is slashing .346/.387/.692 with nine hits, nine RBIs and seven runs scored, while Altuve’s line is .412/.462/.471 with 14 hits, three RBIs and seven runs scored.

Altuve did not do particularly well against righties at home last year, slashing .296/.358/.412 across 260 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .345/.409/.547).

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.37 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 6.08 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 2.17, along with a WHIP of 1.58 and a K-per-9 of 9.64.

The Padres offense has slashed .230/.300/.385 on its way to 3.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led San Diego’s hitters. Villanueva is hitting .286/.348/.810 with six hits, six RBIs and four runs scored, while Hosmer (.314/.400/.486) is up to 11 hits, two RBIs and three runs scored.

San Diego Padres at Houston Astros MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Padres and Astros did not face each other in 2017.
  • The Astros have won six of their last seven games SU