San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will pay a visit to Coors Field to square off against their division foe Colorado Rockies. The matchup gets underway at 8:40 p.m. ET and you can catch it on either ATRM or FSSD.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Odds

Vegas is listing Colorado (+105) as the underdog to San Diego (-125). Bettors can wager on the games total with odds sitting at -115 for over 10.5 runs and -105 for under 10.5. Runline odds stand at +175 for taking the Padres +1.5 runs and -185 for the Rockies -1.5.

The Padres have gone just 2-8 SU this year and are 4-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.6 units for moneyline bettors in the seasons early going and 3.0 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Rockies are 5-5 SU and 5-4 ATS. They’ve gained 0.8 units for moneyline bettors and 1.9 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Colorado games have had an over/under record of 5-3-1 so far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 4-4-1.

The Padres have lost 2.6 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost 0.0 units and are 3-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs hit in two of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under.

The left-handed Clayton Richard (0-1, 4.50 ERA) will get the start for San Diego. Richard started 32 games last year and finished the season 8-15 overall with a 4.79 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. He made four starts against Colorado in 2017 and compiled a 2-2 record against the Rockies with a 6.75 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

The Rockies are turning to righty Jon Gray (1-1, 2.45 ERA), who struck out 112 hitters over 110 innings last year (20 starts). Gray finished the season 10-4 overall with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. He recorded three starts against the Padres a year ago and compiled a 2-0 record with a 2.65 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitching staff has yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have a 4.76 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.38 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 7.8 K/9. In seven games against NL West opponents, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.15 and the bullpens ERA is 5.33.

Colorado’s hitters have produced 3.7 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .214/.294/.321 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Rockies offense has been led by right fielder Charlie Blackmon and second baseman DJ LeMahieu. Blackmon is hitting .278/.366/.667 with 10 hits, six RBIs and nine runs scored, and LeMahieu’s line is .289/.400/.500 with 11 hits, four RBIs and five runs.

Blackmon performed well against left-handed pitching at home last season. Across 114 such plate appearances, he slashed .412/.474/.745 (compared to his total season line of .331/.399/.601).

For the visiting squad, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.56 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 6.58 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.06, along with a K-per-9 of 9.84.

The Padres offense has slashed .221/.295/.362 on its way to 3.0 runs scored per game this season, including over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Shortstop Freddy Galvis and third baseman Christian Villanueva have led San Diego’s offense. Galvis is hitting .364/.475/.485 with 12 hits, five RBIs and two runs scored, while Villanueva is hitting .240/.296/.680 with six hits, three homers, six RBIs and four runs scored.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Rockies went 12-7 SU against the Padres last season.
  • The Padres have lost four of their last five games SU.
  • The Rockies bullpen recorded 2.76 ERA against the Padres last year.