San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will make a road trip to Denver to take on their divisional foe Rockies at Coors Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on both ATRM and FSSD.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Odds

San Diego (+165) is entering this game as the underdog to Colorado (-175) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 11 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -135 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +115 for the Rockies -1.5.

The Padres are just 8-15 SU and have gone 9-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 7.0 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 12-11 SU and 12-10 ATS. The team has gained 2.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.1 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Colorado games have had an over/under record of 10-10-2 so far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 10-10-2.

The right-handed Bryan Mitchell is the probable starter for the visiting Padres. Mitchell is 0-2 with a 5.03 ERA and seven strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA against Colorado this year.

The Rockies are sending righty Chad Bettis (3-0, 1.44 ERA) to the mound. Bettis has 15 strikeouts and 10 walks to his name, as well as a 1.08 WHIP. Bettis is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.

San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.73 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 7.99 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.79, along with a WHIP of 1.55.

Padres hitters have slashed .219/.289/.364 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

San Diego’s hitters have been led by third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Villanueva is hitting .355/.444/.774 with seven home runs, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Hosmer (.241/.323/.398) is up to two homers, four RBIs and 10 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.85 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.70 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 10 divisional games, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.93.

The Colorado offense is putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .241/.337/.380 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Rockies’ offense has been led by outfielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado. Blackmon is hitting .304/.392/.696 with eight home runs, 15 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Arenado’s line is .344/.427/.578 with three homers, 10 RBIs and eight runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .331/.399/.601, Blackmon performed well against righty pitching at home last season, slashing .381/.462/.787 over 234 such plate appearances.

The Padres have lost 3.9 units and are 6-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 4.7 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in seven of those games, as opposed to six which went under the total.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Padres have lost five of their last six games SU.
  • San Diego has recorded 17.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 15.0 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 13 over their last 10.