San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Free Preview

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, Major League Baseball

The San Diego Padres will head east to SunTrust Park to play the Atlanta Braves. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will showcase this NL matchup.

San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves Odds

Vegas has listed San Diego (+135) as the dog to Atlanta (-145). If you think the game’s total will go under 9 runs, Vegas is currently offering -120 odds. Playing the over will return even money (+100). Runline odds stand at -160 for taking the Padres +1.5 runs and +140 for the Braves -1.5 runs.

The Braves are 13-14 straight up (SU) and 11-15 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 4.7 units for moneyline bettors and 4.2 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-5 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Padres have gone 16-12 SU this year and are 12-15 against the spread. In total, the team’s gained 4.2 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the year, but have lost 3.0 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Braves games have an over/under record of 14-10-2 so far in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 11-14-2.

Nick Margevicius is projected to start for the visiting Padres. Margevicius is 2-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Braves are putting the ball in the right hand of Mike Soroka (1-1, 1.69 ERA, 1.31 WHIP), who has 13 strikeouts and five walks. Soroka did not register a start against the Padres in 2018.

Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.99 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The Atlanta hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .279/.364/.517 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Braves’ offense has been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies. Freeman is hitting .324/.448/.539 with five home runs, 18 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while the line for Albies stands at .292/.355/.487 with five homers, 10 RBIs and 23 runs.

For the visiting squad, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.53 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 8.65 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.76, along with a WHIP of 1.13 and a K/9 of 10.42.

Padres hitters have slashed .222/.287/.405 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

San Diego’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. and left fielder Wil Myers, who have combined to blast 11 home runs. Tatis Jr. is hitting .300/.360/.550 with six home runs, 13 RBIs, 14 runs and six stolen bases, while Myers (.258/.301/.464) is up to five homers, 11 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

The Padres have gained 1.4 units and are 8-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against y starters.

Padres vs. Braves MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in only two of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • Atlanta has recorded 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.6 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.