San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will be taking on their division rival Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will be televising the action.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

San Diego (+160) is hosting this one as the underdog to Arizona (-170) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The games most recent runline odds sit at -135 for taking the Padres +1.5 runs and +115 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 14-6 SU and 10-9 ATS. They’ve gained 7.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.4 units against the spread (ATS). Arizona has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Padres are 8-14 SU and have gone 9-12 ATS. In total, the teams lost 2.5 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going and 5.5 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have a 9-10 over/under record so far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 10-10-1.

Joey Lucchesi will get the start for San Diego. The southpaw Lucchesi is 2-0 with a 1.66 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks will send lefty Patrick Corbin (3-0, 1.65 ERA) to the mound. Corbin has 37 strikeouts and five walks to his credit, as well as a 0.70 WHIP. Corbin made five starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 2-3 record in 2017, putting together a 2-3 record with a 6.11 ERA.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 3.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have a 3.28 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 1.96, a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 8.6. In 17 games against NL West opponents, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.20 and the bullpens ERA is 2.25.

The Arizona hitters have produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .200/.279/.355 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks batters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and right fielder A.J. Pollock. Goldschmidt is hitting .257/.402/.557 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 15 runs scored, and Pollock’s line is .268/.321/.620 with five homers, 16 RBIs and 11 runs.

Goldschmidt seemed to enjoy hitting lefty pitching at home last season, slashing .313/.483/.641 across 87 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .298/.405/.560).

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.62 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.03 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 2.88, along with a WHIP of 1.54 and a K/9 of 10.32.

The Padres offense has slashed .224/.296/.370 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

San Diego’s hitters have been powered by third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Villanueva is hitting .345/.441/.724 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Hosmer is hitting .250/.326/.413 with two homers, four RBIs and 10 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .318/.385/.498, Hosmer did not perform especially well against lefty pitching in 2017, putting up a slash line of just .284/.327/.433 across 208 plate appearances.

The Padres have gained 0.4 units and are 3-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 8.3 units and are 6-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to four which went under the total.

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • San Diego has recorded 18.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.4 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 13 over their last 10.