San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Colorado Rockies will play host to their NL West foe San Diego Padres at Coors Field. Fox Sports San Diego will showcase the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 3:10 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Odds

San Diego (+140) is hosting this game as the underdog to Colorado (-150) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 10.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Padres +1.5 runs (-155) and Rockies +-1.5 runs (+135).

The Padres have gone just 9-16 SU this year and are 10-14 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.9 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the season and 7.7 units ATS. San Diego’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 13-12 SU and 12-12 ATS. The team’s gained 0.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.4 units ATS. Colorado has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Colorado games have a 12-10-2 over/under record so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 11-11-2.

Right-hander Tyson Ross will get the nod for the visiting Padres. Ross is 2-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 24 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Colorado this year.

The Rockies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jon Gray (1-4, 7.09 ERA), who has 24 punchouts and eight walks, as well as a 1.65 WHIP. Gray is 1-1 with 13 strikeouts and a 5.25 ERA across two starts against San Diego this year.

Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.75 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.28 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 12 games against divisional opponents, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.30 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.09.

The Colorado offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .277/.365/.452 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado have led the Rockies’ offense this year. Blackmon is hitting .299/.379/.649 with eight home runs, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored, and Arenado is batting .343 with four homers, 12 RBIs and 11 runs.

Blackmon particularly enjoyed hitting against righty pitching at home last year. In 234 such plate appearances, he slashed .381/.462/.787 (compared to his total season line of .331/.399/.601).

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.21 ERA, 1.61 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.64, along with a K/9 of 10.29.

The Padres offense has slashed .224/.294/.368 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led San Diego’s offense. Villanueva is hitting .355/.444/.774 with seven home runs, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Hosmer (.259/.364/.412) has produced two homers, four RBIs and 12 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 2.3 units and are 7-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 3.1 units and are 7-7 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to six that went under.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Padres have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • Colorado has averaged 19.4 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 24.4 over its last five.