San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Free Pick

The San Diego Padres will be squaring off against their NL West nemesis Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The matchup gets underway at 8:40 p.m. ET and you can watch it on ATRM and FSSD.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Odds

San Diego (+160) is the underdog to Colorado (-170) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 10 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). The game’s runline odds sit at -135 for taking the Padres +1.5 runs and +115 for the Rockies -1.5.

The Rockies are 5-6 SU and 5-5 ATS. The team’s lost 0.7 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.9 units against the spread (ATS). Colorado has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Padres have gone 3-8 SU this year and are 4-6 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 4.7 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the year and 4.0 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Colorado games have a 5-4-1 over/under record thus far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 4-5-1.

The Padres have lost 1.0 units and are 1-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in two of those games, as opposed to one that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the

Rockies have lost 1.6 units and are 3-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to two that went under the total.

Left-hander Joey Lucchesi (0-0, 2.79 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Padres. Lucchesi did not record any Major League pitching stats last season.

The Rockies are going with lefty Tyler Anderson (0-0, 7.56 ERA) as their starter. Anderson struck out 81 hitters in 86 innings last year (with only 26 walks), while finishing the season 6-6 overall with a 4.81 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. He recorded two starts against the Padres a year ago and put up a 1-1 record with a 2.31 ERA and nine strikeouts.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitching staff has yielded 4.9 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.46, a WHIP of 1.59 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In eight games against divisional foes, Rockies starters have an ERA of 5.22 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.60.

The Colorado hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .205/.294/.361 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Right fielder Charlie Blackmon and second baseman DJ LeMahieu have led the Rockies’ hitters so far. Blackmon is slashing .282/.391/.641 with 11 hits, six RBIs and nine runs scored, while LeMahieu’s line is .302/.400/.488 with 13 hits, four RBIs and five runs.

Blackmon performed well against left-handed pitchers at home last season, slashing .412/.474/.745 over 114 such plate appearances (his total season line was .331/.399/.601).

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.78 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 6.48 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.28, along with a K-per-9 of 9.97.

Padres hitters have slashed .233/.301/.386 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Freddy Galvis and third baseman Christian Villanueva have led San Diego’s offense. Galvis is slashing .351/.455/.514 with 13 hits, five RBIs and three runs scored, while Villanueva (.240/.296/.680) is up to six hits, three homers, six RBIs and four runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .253/.307/.377, Galvis seemed to take a step back when hitting left-handed pitching on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .242/.265/.295 across 98 such plate appearances.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Rockies have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • The San Diego defense has allowed eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Colorado over its last 10.
  • The Padres have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 14 over their last 10.